Sunday, August 1, 2010

Recession & All Milk Price



(click on image to enlarge)

We have had two recessions in the past ten years as indicated officially, by the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER).

The first was the dot.com bubble. This seemed to have no effect on farm milk price. The most recent recession time period, seems to be very much a factor in farm milk price.

In spite of all the talk about supply/demand, this most recent recession was about finance. Credit tightened and the buyers of milk were able to "extract" their needs from dairy farmers.

Officially, according to NBER we are out of the recession. However, there are many who talk about a double dip recession. That is, a second following on the heels of the first.

The possibility of a double dip is a genuine cause for concern.

Although, officially we are out of the recession, to most people we may as well still be in recession. We are likely to have a "jobless" recovery. That will keep them down on the farm.

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